Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.086519 0.096510 0.107585 0.120845 0.136387 0.154145 0.176143
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.072898 0.086563 0.103070 0.124792 0.153104 0.189456 0.240861
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.063338 0.078872 0.098931 0.127424 0.168064 0.225979 0.318878
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.056222 0.072679 0.095095 0.129018 0.181306 0.263170 0.411332
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.050435 0.067175 0.090986 0.128972 0.191569 0.298214 0.514674
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.045479 0.062050 0.086465 0.127170 0.198209 0.328693 0.623627
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.042526 0.059397 0.085132 0.129978 0.213020 0.378342 0.800283
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.039030 0.055483 0.081251 0.127718 0.217897 0.409670 0.953278
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.036750 0.053189 0.079639 0.129071 0.229932 0.460584 1.199097
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.034371 0.050482 0.076990 0.128037 0.236759 0.501867 1.452872
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.032800 0.048932 0.076112 0.130177 0.250915 0.567662 1.871042
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.031435 0.047586 0.075418 0.132529 0.266142 0.643652 2.446053
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029773 0.045626 0.073469 0.132144 0.275097 0.706908 3.085971
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028542 0.044314 0.072583 0.133899 0.290137 0.799478 4.145094
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027421 0.043101 0.071752 0.135650 0.305797 0.905232 5.688469
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026343 0.041875 0.070768 0.136899 0.320534 1.018920 7.895729
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.025201 0.040447 0.069242 0.136646 0.330864 1.122782 10.747182
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023981 0.038789 0.067105 0.134616 0.335214 1.203404 14.056278
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.023338 0.038162 0.067007 0.137611 0.356958 1.395139 22.826556
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.022253 0.036626 0.064884 0.135157 0.359534 1.483544 30.949626
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021585 0.035845 0.064290 0.136610 0.376660 1.683309 52.807939
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020753 0.034695 0.062808 0.135493 0.384060 1.829472 84.101054
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020245 0.034146 0.062588 0.137800 0.405731 2.116755 189.544284